Private Capital Markets Midterm Review

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What is PE

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What is PE

Alternative investment class that invests in or acquires private companies that are not listed on a public stock exchange 

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Lifecycle of PE

  • Fundraise (-1 to 1 years), Investment (0-5 years), Divestment (5-10 years) 

  • Typical holding period of underlying portfolio company is 4-6 years 

  • Term: 10 plus two 1-year extensions 

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Characteristics of Private Investments 

  • Illiquidity over long period of time 

  • Limited regulation 

  • Significant transaction costs and multiple layers of fees 

  • Unpredictable cash flows 

  • High investment costs 

  • Limited transparency 

  • Benchmarking is difficult 

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Why invest (PE)

PE allows providers of capital to compete for the right to govern the corporation 

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Why invest in PE

  • Right to establish structures and processes 

  • Ability to hire and fire 

  • Ability to set compensation of top managers 

  • Ability to veto and ratify strategic initiatives 

  • Ability to serve as internal consultants 

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Public company governance 

Investors bear residual risk but don’t manage the firm, managers run the firm but don’t bear all of the residual risk (PE is supererior)

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Ways to make money in PE

  • Growth 

  • Organic, TAM is growing or you are increasing market share 

  • Operational, optimize the business. Improve margins 

  • Inorganic, M&A, arbitrage 

  • Financial engineering 

  • Less reliable 

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Manager Selection PE

  • Widespread difference in performance between top quartile and bottom quartile firms 

  • Target smaller funds 

  • Businesses tend to be less efficiently prices = greater chance of multiple expansion 

  • Businesses tend to be less efficiently operated = greater chance of margin improvement 

  • Multiple paths to liquidity via strategic buyers and financial sponsors 

  • Industry places too much emphasis on MOIC without consideration for duration which lowers return % 

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Buyouts 

  • Acquire controlling interests in under-valued or distressed companies 

  • Characteristics 

  • Equity control 

  • Leverage 

  • Economic alignment 

  • Enact change 

  • Leverage 

  • Alter management team’ 

  • Change reporting structure 

  • Drive operational improvement 

  • Exit planning 

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LBO

  • Typically, 50-75% cap structure post transaction is debt 

  • Evaluate target to determine optimal level of debt 

  • Stability of cash flows in industry 

  • Ability to generate cash flows from operations 

  • Range of operating scenarios 

  • Benefit of Leverage 

  • Buyer – achieve higher returns on equity stake 

  • Seller – higher purchase price due to debt financing 

  • Downside 

  • More susceptible to external shocks 

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Manager selection 

  • Sector expertise 

  • Sourcing 

  • Several levers to create value 

  • Fund size 

  • Conservative leverage 

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Growth Equity 

  • Minority investments in high-growth companies 

  • Sits between VC and buyout 

  • Expansion capital (idk what that is) 

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Late-stage venture backed (series D to Pre-IPO) 

  • Defensible market position (product works) 

  • Profitability or near it 

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Mature small/medium sized businesses 

  • Bootstrapped with strong market position 

  • First institutional capital 

  • Often founder or family owned 

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Spin offs 

Orphaned or unloved from large corporations 

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Challenges GE

  • Lack of operating control 

  • Company culture 

  • Exit timing 

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Benefits GE

  • Attractive return profile on a risk adjusted basis considering shorter duration 

  • Duration of 3-5 years 

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Manager selection GE

  • Not a price taker 

  • Strong proprietary network 

  • Financial and operating expertise 

  • Exit optionality 

  • Alignment is key 

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Finance

deals with movement of capital across the economy

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Facilitators of Capital 

Banks 

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Investors of Capital 

Institutional, Retail

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Users of Capital 

  • Public companies via loans / bonds 

  • Private companies through debt or equity funding 

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“Private for longer” 

  • 3x less public companies today than in 1996 

  • Over 6 million private companies 

  • Average age of new public company was 4.5 years in 1999, to 12+ in 2020 

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Why Private for Longer

  • Regulatory hurdles 

  • Access to private capital 

  • Long-term strategy focus 

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Challenging characteristics (being an LP)

  • Illiquid over long period of time 

  • Limited regulation and transparency 

  • Higher costs and fees 

  • Unpredictable cash flows 

  • Difficult to benchmark 

  • J curve 

  • Access constraints 

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Endowment

  • Long-term capital managed 

  • Should increase to keep university competitive 

  • Monthly distributions 

  • Goal is to double every 5ish years 

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Venture Capital 

  • Minority investments in future high-growth companies 

  • Negative cash flows 

  • High burn rates 

  • Often pre-profit, pre-revenue- or even pre-product 

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VC firms add value through stage specific expertise 

  • Financial or operational 

  • Product market fit 

  • Management team 

  • Go to market 

  • Scaling 

  • Access to follow-capital 

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Manager selection VC

  • Access to deal flow and ability to win deals 

  • Network and reputation 

  • Value add & expertise leading to differentiated capital 

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VC funds should offer high return expectations 

  • 3-5x/20%+ net with upside 

  • Expect higher loss ratio 

  • More diversified for baylor 

  • Consider duration along with multiple 

  • Exit optionality 

  • Post IPO policy 

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VC Valuation 

  • Subjective 

  • Number of rounds & dilution 

  • Pre-money + investment = Post-money 

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VC term sheet 

  • Non-binding 

  • Economic terms 

  • Valuation/Investment amount/Ownership stake 

  • Liquidation preference 

  • Employee stock ownership plan 

  • Anti-dilutive provisions 

  • Pro-rata rights 

  • Control terms 

  • Board representation/voting rights 

  • Protective provisions 

  • Drag along/tag along 

  • No shop / exclusivity 

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Funds and target levels

Venture: $0-10MM Rev, <50% ownership

Growth: $10-30MM Rev, <50% ownership

Buyout: $30MM+ Rev, >50% ownership

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Baylor Endowment Target Levels

Public Equities: 15-45% (30%)

Fixed Income: 0-10% (5%)

Marketable Alternatives: 5-35% (20%)

Private Investments: 35-55% (45%)

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Baylor Private Investment

Double endowment every ~5 years

Strategies that can outperform public market equivalents

  • internal hurdle rate of +350 bps

  • Shift those that cannot meet hurdle to marketable portfolio

Sectors with best go-forward opportunities: long-term trends

  • IT (enterprise software in particular), healthcare, consumer

Allocate to have concentrated company level exposure

  • $1M+ exposure per company on average

Managers in LMM with smaller fund sizes

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Baylor Portfolio

Public Equity: Mutual funds, ETFs, different geographies

Fixed Income: Short & Long-term, cash

Alternatives: Long/Short hedge funds, relative value hedge funds, event driven debt/equity

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Baylor Targets

Funds that <$1 billion
- businesses tend to be less efficiently prices = greater likelihood for multiple expansion
- businesses tend to be less efficiently operated = greater likelihood for margin improvement

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Baylor Private Performance by Class

VC: Deal Level Target - 10X, Fund Level Target - 3x, Loss - 30%, Duration - 8-10 years, 5 year return - 16%

GE: Deal Level Target - 3-5X, Fund Level Target - 2-3x, Loss - 10-15%, Duration - 3-5 years, 5 year return - 24%

Buyout: Deal Level Target - 2-3X, Fund Level Target - 1.5-2.5x, Loss - 0-10%, Duration - 4-7 years, 5 year return - 21%

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