ESCI 274 Lecture 2: Population and Globalization

• The magnitude of the increase or decrease in population for a defined period

• ex; if last year the population of a city was 3,000 and this year the population has changed to 5,000, then the absolute increase in population is 3,000

• Population in the world is, as of 2022, growing at a rate of around 0.84% per year (down from 1.05% in 2020)

• The current population increase is estimated at 67 million people per year

• The spatial pattern due to dispersal of population, formation of agglomeration, linear spread etc

1. 1 B in 1800 (Ag Rev)

2. 2 B in 1930

3. 3 B in 1960

4. 4 B in 1975

5. 5 B in 1987

6. 6 B in 1999

7. 7 B in 2011

8. 8 B in 2022

• More people = more polluters

• Population growth isn’t necessarily causing climate change, it's the amount each person consumes

• Population (P) x consumption per person (affluence, A) x technological impact per unit of consumption (T) = environmental impact of population (I)

1. Palaeolithic tool making - Stone and wool tools

2. Neolithic agriculture - More advanced tools like soil turners dragged by horses

3. Industrial Revolution - Factories, etc

4. Currently in the modern medical technological revolution

• Malthusian scenario resources and population collide (overlap) and humanity returns to a subsistence level of living because population outpaces production

• Technocentric scenario resources and population are independent. Population increase is a cause of changes in agriculture.

1. New diseases

2. Increasing obesity (and associated health impacts)

3. Disasters in one area may impact resources in another (exports/imports)

4. Overdevelopment or exploitation of resources (i.e. fish, water)

5. Pressure on food supplies

6. Degradation of land and water

7. Depletion of resources

8. Ecosystem disturbances

9. Disruption of bio geophysical systems (e.g., climate system)

Wealthy people consume more energy and, consequently, are responsible for more greenhouse gas emissions than less wealthy people