Population Distribution
the patterns of habitation across earth’s surface
All humans on Earth live on only ~__% of the Earth’s surface
5
Ecumene
the permanently inhabited portion of the earth
4 major population clusters
Asia
South Asia
SE Asia
Europe
2 Factors for Population Distribution
Physical
Human
Types of Physical Factors that Affect Population Distribution
Climate
Landforms
Water
Types of Human Factors
Cultural
Economic
History - Where places used to be distributed has a major role in where they are now
Politics
Population Density
how many people occupy a given unit of land
3 Different Ways to Measure Population Density
Arithmetic
Physiological
Agricultural
Arithmetic Density
Total Population/Total Land Area
Disadvantages with measuring population density with arithmetic density
it assumes all the land in an area is equally inhabitable, but this isn’t accurate
Physiological Density
Total population/Total Arable Land
arable land
land that can be used for agriculture
What is physiological density good at measuring?
how well a population can feed itself
the higher the physiological density, the more pressure is put on farmland to produce enough food
the lower the physiological density, the more likely farmland can sustain its population
What are the causes of a higher or lower physiological density?
the higher the physiological density, the more pressure is put on farmland to produce enough food
the lower the physiological density, the more likely farm land is able to sustain its population
Agricultural Density
Total Farmers/Total Arable Land
What is agricultural density good at measuring?
How labor intensive agriculture is in a given place
What are the causes of a higher or lower agricultural density?
lower - fewer farmers, more mechanization on farms
higher - more farmers, more subsistence farmers
subsistence farmers
form of farming in which nearly all of the crops or livestock raised are used to maintain the farmer and the farmer's family, leaving little, if any, surplus for sale or trade.
How does population distribution affect representation?
If there is a democratic system of government in place, then the population distribution can influence how many representatives an area gets to have in their government, giving them more influence over policy decisions.
How does population distribution affect resource allocation?
Funding for infrastructure and public services is also determined by population, meaning a higher population will lead to larger funding.
How does population distribution affect political identity?
The distribution of cultural populations can influence the development of political identities and movements, which can lead to conflicts regarding representation in government or resources.
Dependency Ratio
The ratio between those not in the labor force (dependents) who rely on those who are actively employed (productive part).
Graying Population
an increase in the proportion of a country's population that is aged, typically considered as being 65 years or older.
younger population
the segment of a country's population that is composed of individuals who are typically under the age of 15
Carrying capacity
refers to the maximum number of individuals that an environment can sustainably support without causing environmental degradation.
Natural Increase Rate (NIR)
the crude birth rate (CBR) minus the crude death rate (CDR)
Overpopulation
when a species' population exceeds the carrying capacity of its ecological niche. It essentially means there are too many individuals for the available resources.
pro-natalist
encourages people to have more children. Governments may use these policies to increase birth rates and population size.
anti-natalist
discourage people from having children.
The best, and most well-known example of this is China's One-Child policy.
Total Fertility Rate (TFR)
the average number of children a woman would have if she were to live to the end of her childbearing years and bear children according to current age-specific fertility rates.
How does population distribution affect pollution and climate change?
Areas with a high concentration of people and industry may experience higher levels of air and water pollution.
Human activities such as transportation and energy consumption contribute to greenhouse gas emissions, meaning areas with a higher population may have a greater impact on climate change.
How does population distribution affect habitat destruction and biodiversity?
The destruction or alteration of natural habitats, such as forests and wetlands can be affected. Areas with a high population may have more development and land use, leading to habitat destruction.
The biodiversity of plants and animals is affected, for example, areas with a high population density may have fewer natural habitats and less biodiversity.
Biodiversity
the variety of life on Earth, including the number of species, their genetic variation, and the complexity of their ecosystems.
How does population distribution affect quality of life?
Individual and Community quality of life can be influenced, for example, areas with a higher population density may have more amenities and opportunities, but may also experience overcrowding and other negative impacts on quality of life.
How does population distribution affect cultural diversity?
Areas with a high concentration of a particular ethnic or cultural group may have a distinct culture, while areas with a more diverse population may have a more varied cultural makeup
How does population distribution affect employment opportunities?
The availability of employment opportunities can largely be affected. For example, a higher population would lead to a larger labor force and a more diverse job market.
How does population distribution affect social mobility?
The ability to move up or down the social ladder is affected. Areas with a higher population tend to have a more diverse job market, which may offer more opportunities for social mobility
How does population distribution affect economic development?
Economic development is affected by population distribution. Economic growth can be led by a higher population that attracts businesses and investment.
population composition
the structure of a population in terms of age, sex, and other properties such as marital status and education
sex ratio
the number of males per one hundred females in the population
# Men : 100 Women
In the developed world there are typically more women, why?
Men tend to have jobs with higher mortality rates (construction, police, military)
Men are also at higher risk of heart disease
Men also die in accidents more often.
In the developing world there are typically more men, why?
In the developing world, there are more men because male babies are preferred. In India, it is illegal to find out the sex of the baby in utero, because of so many abortions of female fetuses. In China, there are now millions more men than women in their childbearing years, because during the one-child policy male babies were strongly preferred.
Population Pyramid
a graphical representation that shows the distribution of various age groups in a population, which forms the shape of a pyramid when the population is growing.
What can you learn from population pyramids (6)?
Dependency ratio: number of people who are not of working age (too young or too old) relative to the number of people who are of working age
Fertility rate: Showing the proportion of the population that is in the child-bearing ages
Mortality rates: Compares the sizes of the different age groups over time
Gender Balance: Ration of males to females in a population
Population Projections: Make projections about the future size and age structure of a population
Population growth: Compare the size of different age groups
Rapid Growth Population
Wide at the bottom
Narrow at the top
Associated with developing countries
high birth rate
shorter life span
Slow Growth Population
Slightly wider at the bottom
Associated with developing countries
high birth rate
shorter life span
Stable Growth Population
growth rate is zero
Declining Population
birth rate declining
longer life spans
How does more educated women lead to lower fertility Rates
A higher percentage of educated women →higher percentage of women in the workforce →Women are more likely to focus on their careers > families; they have easier access to family planning; and reproductive health services (like contraceptives)→lower TFR
Chain of Migration
a process where migrants from a particular town follow others from that town to a particular destination. The decision to migrate is influenced by family or friends who have already migrated.
Crude Birth Rate (CBR)
the total number of live births per 1,000 people in a population in a given year
Crude Death Rate (CDR)
the total number of deaths per year per 1,000 people
Doubling Time
the amount of time it takes for a population to double its size/value at a constant annual growth rate
Ethnic Enclave
a geographic area with high ethnic concentration, characteristic cultural identity, and economic activity
Famine
extreme scarcity of food in a region leading to widespread malnutrition and death due to starvation and disease
Infant Mortality Rate
the number of deaths under one year of age occurring among live births in a specified geographic area during a specified year, per 1,000 live births occurring among the population of the same geographic area during the same year.
International Migration
involves people moving from one country to another, often in search of better living conditions, safety, or opportunities
Intra-national Migration
involves people moving within the same country, usually for reasons such as work opportunities or changes in personal circumstances
Interregional Migration
the movement of people from one region of a country to another.
Intra-regional migration
the movement of people within one region of a country.
natural increase rate (NIR)
the percentage growth or decline in a population excluding immigration and emigration; it's essentially birth rates minus death rates
Net-In Migration
the difference between the number of immigrants (people coming into an area) and the number of emigrants (people leaving an area). If more people are immigrating than emigrating, it results in net-in migration.
Net-Out Migration
when more people emigrate from an area than immigrate into it. In other words, if more people are leaving than arriving, it results in net-out migration.
Cultural reasons for migration
people may migrate is because of their religion, beliefs, sexual orientation, or oppression of their ethnicity or race. This may be for forced or voluntary reasons.
___ is the number one reason why people move to or within a country
Economics
the main economic reason for migration
job opportunities
The Demographic Transition Model (DTM)
changing birth rates and death rates can be explained by a country’s level of development
The DTM is a key tool for understanding global and regional population dynamic
Stage 1 (DTM)
Birth Rate: High
Death Rate: High
NIR: Zero
For most of human history, the entire world was in stage one. For example, 30,000 years ago, the life expectancy of humans was around 30 years. Remember that it took the world about 100,000 years to reach one billion people!
Stage 2 (DTM)
Birth Rate: High
Death Rate: Falls Rapidly
NIR: Rapid Increase
A key feature of stage 2 of the Demographic Transition Model is the emergence of grandparents. Longer life expectancies allow for 3 generations to share a part of their life spans. Grandparents are part of every stage of the DTM but will be rare in societies with shorter life expectancies.
Identify stage 2 of the DTM on a population pyramid. A number of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (Niger, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Somalia) are currently in stage two.
Stage 3 (DTM)
Birth Rate: Falling
Death Rate: Falls Slower
NIR: Rapid Increase Slows Down
More adults often mean more workers. Stage three countries start to become more industrialized, which means they are more urbanized and the total fertility rate goes down. Countries that are currently in stage three are Mexico, India, Colombia, and South Africa.
Stage 4 (DTM)
Birth Rate: Low
Death Rate: Low
NIR: Falling and then stable
For example, in the United States, the NIR would be zero if you took away the net-in migration that it has every year. Other countries currently in stage four are China, Brazil, and Argentina.
The population pyramids of these countries are even throughout the age groups and somewhat resemble a skyscraper.
Most developed states are here.
Stage 5 (DTM)
Birth Rate: Falling
Death Rate: Low
NIR: Slow Decline
Countries currently in stage five are Japan and a number in Eastern Europe (Germany, Estonia, Ukraine). Fewer young adults are having children. Some stage 5 governments promote pro-natalist policies to try and stunt the population decrease by incentivizing having children.
The population pyramids in these countries are wider at the top and start to look like upside-down pyramids.
Epidemiological Transition Model (ETM)
explains demographic transition not with levels of industrialization and development, but through the lens of disease and death rate
Stage 1 (ETM) / Famine Stage
Death Rate: High
Life Expectancy: Low
Most people die because of pandemics, like infectious and parasitic diseases (the Black Plague and Malaria).
They will also die because of environmental factors like drought, earthquakes, floods, and also things like starvation and malnutrition. More infants die overall.
Stage 2 (ETM) / Receding Pandemic Stage
Death Rate: Decrease
Life Expectancy: Increased
People begin to live longer because of changes in conditions. Changes that can move a society from stage 1 to stage 2 are improved nutrition, breakthroughs in medicine, an end to warfare, and/or improved sanitation. In this stage, not as many people die of infectious diseases because of epidemiology, which is the branch of science that studies diseases, causes, and cures.
Because of better infrastructure (hospitals, sewers, better plumbing), fewer people die of parasitic diseases.
Stage 3 (ETM) / Degenerative and Human-Created Disease Stage
Death Rate: Low
Life Expectancy: Increased
People are living much longer. However, chronic diseases associated with age become a challenge. Things like cancer and heart disease are the leading causes of death.
Stage 4 (ETM) / Delayed Degenerative Disease Stage
Life Expectancy: Highest
People are still living longer, but because of better healthcare, treatments, and medical technology people are able to survive cancer and heart disease.
Stage 5 (ETM) / Reemergence of Infectious Disease Stage
Life Expectancy: Decreases
A disease evolution - Infectious diseases have evolved and established resistance to drugs and other treatments.
Limitations of the DTM
only considers birth and death rates
doesn’t account for migration
applies mainly to Western countries
Limitations of the ETM
It’s an oversimplification of demographic change ONLY based on death rates and disease
It does not account for poverty—most significant causes of shortened life spans
The Industrial Revolution’s impact on population
EXPLOSION IN POPULATION
Stage 2 of DTM
Birth Rate was slowly increasing
Death Rate falling
New medicines
Vaccines
Thomas Malthus
a British economist and demographer. That is someone who studies the characteristics of a population. He lived during the Industrial Revolution, while the population in Britain continued to rise.
Malthusian Theory
he theorized that the population was growing geometrically, while food production only grew arithmetically (see below). This would cause famine, pestilence, and revolution if unchecked.
What was Malthus’s solution?
STOP PEOPLE FROM HAVING BABIES
Delayed marriage
have fewer children
stop governments from helping the poor
Malthusian Theory was ultimately incorrect for 3 reasons:
food production rose steadily with the help of the Industrial Revolution.
the population did not continue to rise at the same rate. Britain was in stage two of the DTM and Malthus could not foresee future stages.
he couldn't predict advancement in technology and the development of agriculture
Neo-Malthusians
Primarily living in the mid-20th century, Neo-Malthusians are individuals or groups who apply the principles of Thomas Malthus, an 18th-century British economist, to modern issues. They believe that population growth will outpace agricultural production and lead to global crises such as famine and disease.
Paul Ehrlich
famous Neo-Malthusian
an American biologist known for his warnings about overpopulation and limited resources on Earth. He wrote "The Population Bomb," which predicted disaster for humanity due to overpopulation and resource scarcity
This states that as the population grows so will agricultural output.
Challenged Malthusian Theory
Cornucopian Theory
Ester Boserup
a Danish economist, believed with more people, we will have more problem solvers and better innovation.
Voluntary Anti-Natalist Policies
gov offers couples incentives to have fewer children
Ex:
Egypt’s “Two is enough campaign”
Financially support impoverished women
Increased Access to Healthcare
Coercive/Forced Anti-Natalist Policies
the gov actively punishes people for having too many children
Ex:
India’s forced sterilization
China’s One CHild Policy
Pro-Natalist Policies
Intended to increase the number of children born, increasing fertility rates
Ex:
media campaigns
'Do It for Denmark' was an unconventional campaign launched by a Danish travel agency aimed at encouraging Danes to go on vacation with their partners with the hope they would conceive children abroad due to declining birth rates in the country.
Generous maternity and paternity leaves
tax breaks for couples with more children
National Days
Singapore has a ‘National Night’, where one day out of the month couples are encouraged to engage in an activity that could result in a child nine months later.
Russia has a ‘Day of Conception’ on September 12, and couples who then have a child on June 12 are rewarded by the regional government.
guest worker
a foreign worker who has been temporarily aloud to work in a host country
Women’s access to education and its effects on the population
Educated women tend to view cultural norms about how many babies they should have more skeptically
Women’s access to family planning and its effects on the population
Tools can include contraception which prevent pregnancy
Women’s increased employment and its effects on the population
Many women delay marriage and child-bearing to focus on their careers.
Maternal Mortality Rate
Maternal mortality rates refer to the number of deaths of women during pregnancy, childbirth, or within 42 days after termination of pregnancy per 100,000 live births.
As the elevation of women goes up the infant mortality rate goes ___
down
Aging Population
the proportion of elderly people are increasing