Unit 2: Research Methods: Thinking Critically with Psychological Science

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Hindsight Bias

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Psychology

Module: 4,5,6,7,8

40 Terms

1

Hindsight Bias

the tendency to believe after leaving an outcome, that one would have foreseen it. ( I knew it all along)

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2

Theory

an explanation using an integrated set of principles that organize observations and predict behaviors or events

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3

Hypothesis

a testable prediction, often implied by a theory

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4

Operational Definition

a carefully worded statement of the exact procedures (operations) used in a research study.

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5

Replication

Repeating the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations to see whether the basic finding can be reproduced

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6

Case Study

a descriptive technique in which one individual or group is studied on depth in the hope of revealing universal principles

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7

Naturalistic Observation

a descriptive technique of observing and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate or control the situation

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8

Survey

descriptive technique for obtaining the self-reported or behaviors of a particular group, usually by questioning a representative, random sample of the group

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9

Sampling Bias

a flawed sampling process that produces an unrepresentative sample

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10

Populations

all those in a group being studied from which samples may be drawn

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11

Random Sampling

A sample that fairly represents a population because each member has an equal chance of inclusion

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12

Correlation

measure of the extent to which two factors vary together, and thus of how well either factors predict the other

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13

Correlation Coefficient

a statistical index of the relations between two things (from -1.00 to 1.00)

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14

Variable

anything that can vary and is feasible and ethical to measure

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15

Scatterplot

a graphed cluster of dots, each of which represents the values of 2 variables. The slope of the point suggest the direction of the relationship between the 2 variables. The amount of scatter suggests the strength of the correlation. ( little scatter indicates higher correlation)

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16

Illusory Correlation

perceiving a relationship where none exist or perceiving a stranger -than- actual - relationship

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17

Regression toward the mean

the tendency for extreme or unusual scores or events to fall back (regress) toward the average

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18

Experiment

a research method in which an investigator manipulates one or more factors (independent variable) to observe the effect on some behavior or mental process ( the depend variable ) by random assignment of participants, the experiment aims to control other relevant factors.

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19

Experimental group

in an experiment, the group exposed to the treatment, that is, to one version of the independent variable

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20

Control group

in an experiment, the group not exposed to the treatment: contrast with the experimental group and serves as a comparison for evaluating the effect of the treatment

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21

Random Assignment

assigning participants to experimental and control groups by chance, thus minimizing preexisting differences between the different groups

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22

Double-Blind procedure

A Double-Blind procedure is an experimental technique where both the research participants and the research staff are unaware of whether the participants have received the treatment or a placebo. This method is commonly used in drug-evaluation studies.

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23

Placebo

experimental results caused by expectations alone;any effect on behavior caused by the administrator of an inert substance or condition which the recipient assumes is an active agent

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24

Independent variable

in an experiment, the factor that is manipulated; the variable whose effect is being studies

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25

Confounding variable

a factor other than the the factor being studies that might influence a study’s result

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26

Dependant Variable

in an experiment the outcome that is measures; the variable that may change when the independent variable is manipulated

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27

Validity

the extent to which a test or experiment measures or predicts what is supposed to

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28

informed consent

giving potential participants enough information about a study to enable them to choose whether they wish to participate

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29

Debriefing

the postexperimental explanation of a study including its purpose and any deceptions to its participants

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30

Descriptive statistics

numerical data used to measure and describe characteristics of groups. Including measures of central tendency and measures of variation

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31

Histogram

a bar graph depicting a frequency distribution

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32

Mode

the most frequently occuring scores in a distribution

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33

Mean

the arithmetic average of a distribution obtained by adding the scores and then dividing by the number of scores

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34

Median

the middle score in a distribution; half the score are above it and half are below it

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35

Skewed distribution

a representation of scores that lack symmetry around their average value

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36

Range

the difference between the highest and lowest scores in a distribution

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37

Standard Deviation

a computed measure of how much scores vary around the mean score

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38

Normal Curve

a symmetrical, bell shaped curve that describes the distribution of many types of data;most scores fall near the mean and fewer near the extremes

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39

Inferential Statistics

numerical methods used to determine whether research data support a hypothesis or whether results were due to chance.

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40

Statistical significance

a statistical statement of how likely it is that an obtained result occurred by chance

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